The stage is set. Is it finally Ovechkin’s time? Will the Sharks finally get over the hump? Can the Blackhawks end the 43-year cup drought? What about the excitement in cities like Los Angeles and Phoenix? Without further ado my first round previews and predictions:
WESTERN CONFERENCE
No. 1 San Jose (51-20-11, 113) vs. No. 8 Colorado (43-30-9, 95)
Special Teams: Sharks 21.0%-PP (4th), 85.0%-PK (5th); Avalanche 18.1% (15th), 80.2% (21st)
Impact Players: Sharks: Joe Thornton (20-69-89), Patrick Marleau (44-39-83), Dany Heatley (39-43-82); Avalanche: Paul Stastny (20-59-79), Chris Stewart (28-36-64), Craig Anderson (38W, 2.63, .917, 7 SHO)
Outlook: All of the pressure is on the Sharks. This franchise has not made the Stanley Cup Finals despite five division titles and has been bounced as a favorite in 5 of the last 6 seasons including last season in the 1-8 matchup. The whole season has been a countdown to this stage. Colorado came out of nowhere to emerge in the postseason. The young core took off and are now they are way ahead in the rebuilding process. Anything for them is a bonus and although the Sharks won’t admit it they were thrilled Detroit beat Chicago on the final Sunday to avoid a first round matchup with the Red Wings. The Sharks should win this series easily on a talent basis but that’s been a bugaboo in the past. If Craig Anderson could steal Game 1, the pressure will build and the Sharks could press.
Pick: Sharks in 6
No. 2 Chicago (52-22-8, 112) vs. No. 7 Nashville (47-29-6, 100)
Special Teams: Blackhawks 17.7% (16th), 86.3% (4th); Predators 16.4% (24th), 28th (77.1%)
Impact Players: Blackhawks: Patrick Kane (30-58-88), Duncan Keith (14-55-69), Jonathan Toews (25-43-68); Predators: Steve Sullivan (17-34-51), Shea Weber (16-27-43), Pekka Rinne (32W, 2.53, .911, 7 SHO)
Outlook: The Blackhawks earned a franchise-record 112 points. They’re fast and deep and their defense is as mobile as any led by Norris Trophy candidate Duncan Keith. The questions remain in goal with Antti Niemi. The Predators gave up as many goals as they scored (225), the worst differential in the West. They don’t possess a difference maker on the ice but balance up and down. They’ll rely heavily on Pekka Rinne in net. They have yet to win a playoff series in their franchise history. This should be a fast and clean series with two of the least penalized teams in the league.
Pick: Blackhawks in 6
No. 3 Vancouver (49-28-5, 103) vs. No. 6 Los Angeles (46-27-9, 101)
Special Teams: Canucks 20.9% (6th), 81.6% (18th); Kings 20.8% (7th), 80.3% (20th)
Impact Players: Canucks: Henrik Sedin (29-83-112), Daniel Sedin (29-56-85), Roberto Luongo (40W, 2.57, .913, 4 SHO); Kings: Anze Kopitar (34-47-81), Drew Doughty (16-43-59), Jonathan Quick (39W, 2.54, .907, 4 SHO)
Outlook: Good series. The Canucks led the West with 272 goals and boast the NHL scoring champion in Sedin. Alex Burrows usually played alongside the twins and scored a team-high 35 goals. The weird thing is the concern is in net as Roberto Luongo suffered a bit of a letdown following the Olympics. However, goaltending will be a question for the Kings since Olympian Jonathan Quick was winless in his last 8 starts and pulled in two of those contests. The Kings will try to establish their cycle and bang the Canucks to wear them down in this series. Both of these teams will mirror each other in speed, depth, and physical play.
Pick: Kings in 6
No. 4 Phoenix (50-25-7, 107) vs. No. 5 Detroit (44-24-14, 102)
Special Teams: Coyotes 14.6% (28th), 84.5% (6th); Red Wings 19.2% (9th), 83.9% (10th)
Impact Players: Coyotes: Wojtek Wolski (23-42-65), Shane Doan (18-37-55), Ilya Bryzgalov (42W, 2.29, .920, 8 SHO); Red Wings: Pavel Datsyuk (27-43-70), Henrik Zetterberg (23-47-70), Jimmy Howard (37W, 2.26, .924, 3 SHO)
Outlook: This is the underdog versus the hated storied franchise. The Coyotes overcame bankruptcy, a coaching change, and rumors of relocations to their first postseason in 8 years. The credit goes to coach Dave Tippett’s tight checking defense and the stout goaltending of Bryzgalov. He who happens to posses a career 1.68 playoff goals-against average in 16 games with the Ducks. The Red Wings were the hottest team after the Olympics losing only three games in regulation. Goalie Jimmy Howard has no NHL playoff experience but that probably won’t matter given the experience of his teammates in front of him. This is the first time since 1990-91 the Red Wings will not have home ice in the first round.
Pick: Red Wings in 6
EASTERN CONFERENCE
No. 1 Washington (54-15-13, 121) vs. No. 8 Montreal (39-33-10, 88)
Special Teams: Capitals 25.2% (1st), 78.8% (25th); Canadiens 21.8% (2nd), 83.0% (12th)
Impact Players: Capitals: Alexander Ovechkin (50-59-109), Nicklas Backstrom (33-68-101), Mike Green (19-57-76); Canadiens: Tomas Plekanec (25-45-70), Andrei Markov (6-28-34), Jaroslav Halak (26W, 2.40, .924, 5 SHO)
Outlook: The Capitals led the NHL with 318 goals and a +85 goal differential. The Caps possess a ridiculous amount of offense with 8 guys who scored 19+ goals. We all know about Ovechkin but his complementary players give the Capitals the deepest team the franchise has ever had. Jose Theodore gets first crack at solving those goaltending questions. Last year he didn’t make it to Game 3 of the 1st round. The Canadiens are the opposite of the Caps with a negative goal differential (217 for, 223 against) and will ride goalie Jaroslav Halak, whose .924 save percentage ranked in the top 5. The biggest thing will be 5-on-5 where Washington was the league’s best at even strength while Montreal ranked dead last.
Pick: Capitals in 5
No. 2 New Jersey (48-27-7, 103) vs. No. 7 Philadelphia (41-35-6, 88)
Special Teams: Devils 18.7% (11th), 82.8% (13th); Flyers 21.4% (3rd), 83.0% (11th)
Impact Players: Devils: Ilya Kovalchuk (41-44-85), Zach Parise (38-44-82), Martin Brodeur (45W, 2.24, .916, 9 SHO); Flyers: Mike Richards (31-31-62), Jeff Carter (33-28-61), Chris Pronger (10-45-55)
Outlook: Kovalchuk averaged a point per game after the Devils acquired him from Atlanta, producing 10 goals and 26 points in 26 games to help team with Zach Parise. However, the Devils still finished near the bottom in goals scored. Martin Brodeur won his fifth Jennings trophy as the Devils allowed the fewest goals in the NHL, 191. The Flyers did their best to give away their playoff spot but won a shootout over the Rangers in their season finale to sneak in. They’ve been a huge disappointment, and not just because they can’t solve their eternal goaltending question. We’ll see if Brian Boucher answers the bell. Philly won 5 of 6 from New Jersey this year.
Pick: Devils in 7
No. 3 Buffalo (45-27-10, 100) vs. No. 6 Boston (39-30-13, 91)
Special Teams: Sabres 17.6% (17th), 86.6% (2nd); Bruins 16.6% (23rd), 86.4% (3rd)
Impact Players: Sabres: Derek Roy (26-43-69), Tim Connolly (17-48-65), Ryan Miller (41W, 2.22, .929, 5 SHO); Bruins: Patrice Bergeron (19-33-52), Zdeno Chara (7-37-44), Tuukka Rask (22W, 1.97, .931, 5 SHO)
Outlook: I hope you like 2-1 playoff hockey games. The Bruins ranked 29th this season with 206 goals and these two teams have the NHL’s top two goalies in save percentage and goals-against average. The Sabres possess a better offense which I think will probably be the difference here. However, if Boston is able to dictate the pace and limit Buffalo’s deeper scoring prowess it can stratch out some wins and extend this series the distance. We’ll see how Tuukka Rask responds to playoff hockey. If not, expect a quick hook and Tim Thomas to step in. Are you un-American if you go against Miller?
Pick: Sabres in 6
No. 4 Pittsburgh (47-28-7, 101) vs. No. 5 Ottawa (44-32-6, 94)
Special Teams: Penguins 17.2% (19th), 84.1 (9th); Senators 16.9% (21st), 84.3% (8th)
Impact Players: Penguins: Sidney Crosby (51-58-109), Evgeni Malkin (28-49-77), Jordan Staal (21-28-49); Senators: Daniel Alfredsson (20-51-71), Jason Spezza (23-34-57), Brian Elliot (29W, 2.57, .909, 5 SHO)
Outlook: Crosby finished second to Vancouver’s Henrik Sedin in points and hit 50 goals for the first time, sharing the goal-scoring lead with Tampa Bay’s Steven Stamkos. The defending champs Penguins have had an up-and-down season and have struggled mightly against the top teams, including going 0-10 against Washington and New Jersey. Marc-Andre Fluery has had a down season but he gets the benefit of the doubt with two finals appearances. The Senators lost winger Alexei Kovalev to knee surgery and will be hard pressed to match Pittsburgh offensively. The Sens will rely heavily on their top line. They’ve been a streaky team all year and will look to get on a roll starting Wednesday.
Pick: Penguins in 6