TEAM BREAKDOWNS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
New York Yankees (103-59, East Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Jeter SS, 2. Damon LF, 3. Teixeira 1B, 4. Rodriguez 3B, 5. Matsui DH, 6. Cano 2B, 7. Posada C, 8. Swisher RF, 9. Cabrera CF
Projected Rotation: 1. Sabathia, 2. Burnett, 3. Pettite, 4. Chamberlin/Mitre
Synopsis: After a year off from the postseason, the Yankees return for the 14th time in 15 seasons. The Yankees took off after Alex Rodriguez recovered from hip surgery and eventually overtook Boston after the All-Star Break and ran away with the best record in baseball. The offense scored a whopping 915 runs, tops in baseball. The offseason additions of Mark Teixeira, C.C. Sabathia, and A.J. Burnett solidified an already potent team.
The Will Win It All Because: The offense continues to carry them and the front-line power arms do just enough to limit the opponents and turn it over to Mariano Rivera.
They Won’t Win it All Because: The new additions press and power pitching shuts down their potent lineup.
X-Factors: C.C. Sabathia and Alex Rodriguez. Both have struggled historically in the postseason and both are depended upon to come up big. Sabathia opted for the big money contract to join the Yankees and A-Rod is A-Rod. If both struggle, the fans will turn and it could be an early exit. If they succeed, this team should win the World Series.
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (97-65, West Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Figgins 3B, 2. Aybar SS, 3. Abreu RF, 4. Guerrero DH, 5. Hunter CF, 6. Morales 1B, 7. Rivera LF, 8. Napoli C, 9. Kendrick 2B
Projected Rotation: 1. Lackey, 2. Weaver, 3. Kazmir, 4. Saunders
Synopsis: For the third straight year the Angels won the AL West. They led the majors in team batting average (.285) and third in stolen bases (148). The speed and contact method fell into place is a cornerstone of a Mike Scioscia team. They finished second to the Yankees in runs (883) and did it despite not ranking in the top 10 in home runs. The pitching did struggle with a 4.26 team ERA (21st in the majors).
The Will Win It All Because: They figure out how to win in Boston and they’re able to create havoc all over the base paths throughout the postseason.
They Won’t Win it All Because: The starting pitching and suspect bullpen doesn’t do the job and they can’t get over the Boston curse
X-Factors: John Lackey and Chone Figgins. It seems like forever ago that John Lackey was the horse as a rookie that pitched the Game 7 clincher in 02 World Series. He’s to be counted on again to be the front line starter that competes with the Sabathia’s and Lester’s. With a suspect bullpen and getting the Game 1 start he needs to get his team off and running. Speaking of off and running, Figgins is the driving force in the Angels engine. If he gets on-base, the Angels play small ball and become a difficult. If he’s neutralized, they become a slower and more power focused team.
Minnesota Twins (87-76, Central Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Span CF, 2. Cabrera SS, 3. Mauer C, 4. Kubel RF, 5. Cuddyer 1B, 6. Young LF, 7. DH Spot, 8. Tolbert 3B, 9. Punto 2B
Projected Rotation: 1. Duensing, 2. Pavano, 3. Baker, 4. Blackburn
Synopsis: Despite being 7 games back in September and losing All-Star first baseman Justin Morneau, the Twins were able to rally and tie Detroit for the Central title and won a thriller in 12-innings in the one-game playoff to clinch a spot in postseason. They’re lead by soon-to-be-named MVP Joe Mauer and a solid supporting cast of role players.
The Will Win It All Because: They defy the odds and continue to ride the momentum for another 11 wins.
They Won’t Win it All Because: They went 0-7 against the Yankees during the regular season and nothing changes and they’re gassed from a long chase to win the division.
X-Factors: Justin Kubel and Michael Cuddyer. The Twins don’t possess the potency of any of the other playoff teams and their pitching is suspect. No team will let Joe Mauer beat them, so it’ll be up to these two guys hitting behind them to provide the sock and give teams a reason to face Mauer.
Boston Red Sox (95-67, Wildcard Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Ellsbury CF, 2. Pedroia 2B, 3. Youkilis 1B, 4. Martinez C, 5. Bay LF, 6. Ortiz DH, 7. Lowell 3B, 8. Drew RF, 9. Gonzalez SS
Projected Rotation: 1. Lester, 2. Beckett, 3. Buccholz, 4. Matsuzaka
Synopsis: Led by solid pitching and a balanced lineup the Red Sox were in cruise control most of the season. They were surpassed by New York for the division title, mostly due to struggling on the road (39-42) and injuries. John Lester (15-8, 3.41) developed into an ace to complement Josh Beckett (17-6, 3.89) while Jason Bay (36 HR, 119 RBI) flourished in his first full season in Boston.
The Will Win It All Because: They have the best pitching and the power arms that can dominate a series to complement a balanced offense.
They Won’t Win it All Because: They continue to struggle on the road and the pitching is not as dominant as in yester years.
X-Factors: Jacoby Ellsbury and Josh Beckett. Ellsbury and his speed (70 SB) is a table setter. The majority of the Red Sox lineup are power hitters with lower averages. Ellbsbury provides the one-dimension offensively that would fit into a National League lineup. Beckett was not right during last postseason and struggled towards the end of the year. The Red Sox need him to be the hammer he’s been in past postseason’s.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Los Angeles Dodgers (95-67, West Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Furcal SS, 2. Ethier RF, 3. Ramirez LF, 4. Kemp RF, 5. Loney 1B, 6. Blake 3B, 7. Belliard/Hudson 2B, 8. Martin C
Projected Rotation: 1. Wolf, 2. Kershaw, 3. Padilla, 4. Billingsley/Garland/(Kuroda- injr.)
Synopsis: They got off to a hot start (21-8) and were able to endure Manny Ramirez’s 50-game suspension led by depth and pitching. The pitching staff led the majors in ERA (3.41) and the bullpen possesses four closers at the back end (Broxton, Sherrill, Kuo, Belisario). The young core emerged and took off led by Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp. The starting pitching is the team’s biggest question mark.
The Will Win It All Because: The starting pitching does enough to keep them in games before turning it over to the bullpen and the offense scores enough.
They Won’t Win it All Because: The starting pitching doesn’t match others and they’re forced to try and outscore teams.
X-Factors: Matt Kemp and Clayton Kershaw. We know what Manny does in the postseason but the team’s best hitter hits behind him. Teams will pitch around Manny if they have to and Kemp has the potential to be a superstar and it’ll be his time to shine. There might be a pitcher with more impact than Kershaw. When he’s on, he overpowers you and looks like a multi-Cy Young winner. When he’s off, he walks a lot of people and burns his pitch count. It’ll be interesting to see what the 21-year-old does.
Philadelphia Phillies (93-69, East Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Rollins SS, 2. Victorino CF, 3. Utley 2B, 4. Howard 1B, 5. Werth RF, 6. Ibanez RF, 7. Feliz 3B, 8. Ruiz C
Projected Rotation: 1. Lee, 2. Hammels, 3. Blanton, 4. Martinez
Synopsis: The defending champs cruised to a third straight division title and added a Cy Young winner (Lee) at the trade deadline. Led by an offense that possesses five guys with 20+ HRs (4 with 30) the Phillies led the NL in home runs and runs scored. The addition of Raul Ibanez and emergence of Jayson Werth makes this team more balanced, although they only hit .258 as a team. The one glaring weakness in this team is the bullpen. Brad Lidge has been awful (7.21 ERA, 11 blown saves) and the guys in front are much better. The Phils will rely heavily on their starters to carry them.
The Will Win It All Because: They’ve been down this road before and have gotten it done and the addition of Lee makes them that much more potent.
They Won’t Win it All Because: They strikeout too much and the left heavy lineup is neutralized while the bullpen continues to stink.
X-Factors: Cliff Lee and Jayson Werth. Lee was brought in as another hammer to complement Hammels. By getting the Game 1 start, the onus is on Lee to get this team back to World Series in his first postseason. Werth had a breakout year (36 HR, 99 RBI) and represents the one power right-handed bat. If the lefties are contained, it could be up to Werth to be the butter and eggs man to help balance the lineup.
St. Louis Cardinals (91-71, Central Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Schumaker SS, 2. DeRossa 2B, 3. Pujols 1B, 4. Holliday LF, 5. Ludwick RF, 6. Rasmus CF, 7. Molina C, 8. Ryan 3B
Projected Rotation: 1. Carpenter, 2. Wainwright, 3. Pineiro, 4. Lohse
Synopsis: The Cardinals were an average team but when the team added the like of Julio Lugo, Mark DeRossa, and Matt Holliday the team took off in the second half and ran away with the NL Central. They possess the best front line starting pitching in the NL and have two legitimate Cy Young candidates (Carpenter and Wainwright) and of course the great Pujols in the middle of the order.
The Will Win It All Because: They ride the best one-two punch out there and Pujols does his thing.
They Won’t Win it All Because: Pujols can be pitched around and the an average bullpen doesn’t close out the close games.
X-Factors: Matt Holliday and Joel Pineiro. Holliday was brought in to provide protection for Pujols. Teams will not let Albert beat them and will put the pressure on Holliday to produce. Lost in the Carpenter-Wainwright tandem is the great season Pineiro posted (15-12, 3.49). If he provides a third arm, the Cards will be tough to beat.
Colorado Rockies (92-70, Wild Card Champs)
Projected Lineup: 1. Gonzalez LF, 2. Fowler CF, 3. Helton 1B, 4. Tulowitzki SS, 5. Hawpe RF, 6. Stewart 3B, 7. Barmes 2B, 8. Ianetta/Torrealba C
Projected Rotation: 1. Jimenez, 2. Cook, 3. Marquis, 4. Hammel/(De La Rosa- injr.)
Synopsis: The Rockies fired manager Clint Hurdle and brought in Jim Tracy on May 29th and then proceeded to post the best record in baseball. They almost made up a 15.5 game deficit on the Dodgers but settled for the wild card. They possess depth and balance and back end hammer in the bullpen in Houston Street. The Rockies were also the only team in MLB to have all five starters reach double figures in wins.
The Will Win It All Because: They continue to play like the team since June and accumulate timely hitting and enough pitching.
They Won’t Win it All Because: They fattened up on inferior competition and don’t have the power to compete with the big boys.
X-Factors: Ubaldo Jimenez and Troy Tulowitzki. Jimenez has electric stuff but becomes very erratic and wild. When he settles in, he is one of the best in the game and has the power stuff that is devastating in the postseason. Tulowitzki is leader and rides his emotions on the field. He’s the kind of guy that could carry a team with his bat and glove.