College Football Bowl Breakdown
A Breakdown of each game, Picks, Confidence Points, and Ranking the Games
New Mexico Bowl- Fresno St. vs. Wyoming, Dec. 19
Synopsis: The First Bowl. Fresno State possesses the nation’s leading rusher in Ryan Mathews while Wyoming is playing in its second bowl game since 1993. Wyoming ranks 99th in the Sargarin Rankings.
Picks: Travis: Fresno St.; Chip: Fresno St.
Confidence: 34; 34
Ranking: 31
St. Petersburg Bowl- Central Florida vs. Rutgers, Dec. 19
Synopsis: Rutgers has the 99th ranked offense, UCF the #4 ranked rush defense. UCF gets to play a defacto home game by playing in Tampa Bay.
Picks: UCF; Rutgers
Confidence: 4; 1
Ranking: 28
New Orleans Bowl- Southern Mississippi vs. Middle Tennesse, Dec. 20
Synopsis: Southern Miss’ Damion Fletcher is the career active leader in rushing with 5,224 yards while Middle Tennessee is in its 2nd bowl since moving up to Division 1.
Picks: Southern Miss; Southern Miss
Confidence: 16; 10
Ranking: 32
Las Vegas- Oregon St. vs. BYU, Dec. 22
Synopsis: The Let Down Bowl. Oregon St. was 4 points away from the Rose Bowl and fell all the way to Vegas while BYU had BCS dreams after beating Oklahoma only to be thumped twice and end up back in Vegas for the fifth straight year. OSU’s Mike Riley is 5-0 in bowl games.
Picks: Oregon St.; Oregon St.
Confidence: 24; 5
Ranking: 8
Poinsettia Bowl- Utah vs. California, Dec. 23
Synopsis: The Disappointment Bowl. Cal was ranked 6th in the country at one point and finished 6th in the Pac 10. Utah came off an undefeated season and lost 2 close games to Oregon and BYU. Utah has won 8 straight bowl games over 7 conferences while Cal has been mauled in all 4 of its losses.
Picks: Cal; Cal
Confidence: 7; 2
Ranking: 13
Hawaii Bowl- Nevada vs. SMU, Dec. 24
Synopsis: June Jones was paid the big bucks to resurrect SMU from the Death Penalty. In year 2, he has them in their first bowl game since 1983, ironically, back on the island from which he left. Nevada possesses the first team with three 1,000 yard rushers. Expect a lot of points.
Picks: Nevada; Nevada
Confidence: 30; 28
Ranking: 15
Little Caesers- Marshall vs. Ohio, Dec. 26
Synopsis: The Get Away From Family Bowl. Why else would you watch this? Marshall doesn’t rank in the Top 47 of any statistical category.
Picks: Ohio; Ohio
Confidence: 21; 4
Ranking: 33
Meineke Car Care Bowl- Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina, Dec. 26
Synopsis: Pittsburgh sensational freshmen running back Dion Lewis gets to face the #10 rush defense in the Tar Heels. Pitt was this close to winning the Big East and UNC will have about 70% of the crowd with the games in Charlotte.
Picks: Pittsburgh; Pittsburgh
Confidence: 20; 15
Ranking: 17
Emerald Bowl- USC vs. Boston College, Dec. 26
Synopsis: The Motivation Bowl. Boston College will be traveling across the country and may bring about 2-3 thousand fans while USC finished 5th in the Pac 10 after winning the conference seven consecutive years. BC will want to measure itself against the Trojans while USC will have to find an edge to prepare for next year.
Picks: USC; USC
Confidence: 28; 33
Ranking: 19
Music City Bowl- Kentucky vs. Clemson, Dec. 27
Synopsis: Clemson was oh-so-close to a BCS bid while Kentucky was oh-so-close to a New Year’s Day Bowl. This is a rematch of the game in 2005. Expect C.J. Spiller to get more than the 8 touches he did that year.
Picks: Clemson; Clemson
Confidence: 25; 6
Ranking: 18
Independence Bowl- Texas A&M vs. Georgia, Dec. 28
Synopsis: Texas A&M Jarrod Johnson against Georgia’s sive defense. Georgia’s offense against Texas A&M’s defense that averaged 48 points given up away from home. There should be some points scored.
Picks: Georgia; Georgia
Confidence: 18; 7
Ranking: 25
Eagle Bank Bowl- UCLA vs. Temple, Dec. 29
Synopsis: This is Temple’s first bowl since its 1979 Garden State Bowl and third all-time. UCLA finished 8th in the Pac 10 and had to wait for two weeks for Navy to beat Army and secure the last bowl spot.
Picks: UCLA; UCLA
Confidence: 19; 32
Ranking: 29
Champs Sports Bowl- Miami vs. Wisconsin, Dec. 29
Synopsis: Finally some ranked teams. The first matchup of ranked teams since the Vegas Bowl. The Canes get to play in Florida and coming off a 9-win season, the U, might be back. Wisconsin hasn’t beaten anyone in the Top 50 of the Sargarin rankings.
Picks: Miami; Miami
Confidence: 23; 14
Ranking: 16
Humanitarian Bowl- Bowling Green vs. Idaho, Dec. 30
Synopsis: Bowling Green’s Freddie Barnes is one of the top wide receivers in the country and Idaho is making its first bowl game appearance since 1998. Plus the smurf turf.
Picks: Idaho; Bowling Green
Confidence: 5; 8
Ranking: 34
Holiday Bowl- Arizona vs. Nebraska, Dec. 30
Synopsis: The Last Seconds Bowl. Arizona was 6 seconds from playing in the Rose Bowl. Nebraska 1 second from the Fiesta Bowl. A contrast in styles. Nebraska has no offense but one of the top defenses. Arizona has an explosive spread offense but it’s built on timing. It should be another low scoring game with a first one to 20 feel.
Picks: Arizona; Arizona (who’d you think we’d pick)
Confidence: 15; 9
Ranking: 6
Armed Forces Bowl- Houston vs. Air Force, Dec. 31
Synopsis: The nation’s top passing offense against the top passing defense. These teams are familiar with each other. They played in this bowl last year and the regular season. Enjoy the rubber match.
Picks: Houston; Houston
Confidence: 32; 17
Ranking: 14
Sun Bowl- Oklahoma vs. Stanford, Dec. 31
Synopsis: A case of bad Luck for Stanford. If QB Andrew Luck can’t play, Oklahoma will be able to stack the line against Toby Gerhard. As good as Gerhard is, the play action pass is what made Stanford so effective. We’ll see if he can go.
Picks: Oklahoma; Oklahoma
Confidence: 3; 12
Ranking: 9
Texas Bowl- Missouri vs. Navy, Dec. 31
Synopsis: A big contrast in styles. Missouri goes 5-wide and throws a lot to Denario Alexander, the nation’s leading yards per game receiver. Navy tries not to throw the ball and will triple option you at will. The Midshipmen have lost three straight bowl games by a total of 14 points.
Picks: Missouri; Missouri
Confidence: 27; 11
Ranking: 24
Insight Bowl- Minnesota vs. Iowa St., Dec. 31
Synopsis: Nothing screams bring in the New Year like two mediocre 6-6 teams. The bright side for the fans is New Year’s in Tempe is probably a little warmer than back home.
Picks: Iowa St.; Minnesota
Confidence: 6; 13
Ranking: 30
Chick-fil-A Bowl- Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee, Dec. 31
Synopsis: A big game for the ACC. The second straight year an ACC team ranked in the Top 15 will face an unranked SEC team. Last year, Georgia Tech was crushed by 35. This is the first time two schools have met since 1994 despite being 3-4 hours apart.
Picks: Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech
Confidence: 22; 21
Ranking: 12
Outback Bowl- Auburn vs. Northwestern, Jan. 1
Synopsis: Let the fat assing begin. Both teams are average and get to play on New Year’s Day. Northwestern has scored a few upsets in Big 10 play and Auburn is back in a bowl after missing one last year.
Picks: Auburn; Auburn
Confidence: 8; 30
Ranking: 20
Gator Bowl- West Virginia vs. Florida St., Jan. 1
Synopsis: Bobby Bowden’s final game. Fitting it’s against the team he coached for 10 years prior to leaving and becoming a legend at FSU. This is one of those games that you know FSU will go all out to try and send Bobby off a winner despite being a heavy underdog.
Picks: West Virginia; West Virginia
Confidence: 17; 29
Ranking: 11
Capital One Bowl- Penn St. vs. LSU, Jan. 1
Synopsis: The Overrated Bowl. Both of these teams didn’t really beat anyone and were blown out against good competition. Yet, somehow, someway, they’re ranked in the Top 15. Joe Paterno is Florida, go ahead and make the jokes.
Picks: LSU; LSU
Confidence: 9; 25
Ranking: 5
Rose Bowl- Oregon vs. Ohio St., Jan. 1
Synopsis: The Granddaddy of them All. Oregon’s basketball on grass and number 7 scoring offense against the Buckeyes’ number 5 scoring defense. Terrell Pryor was heavily recruited by Oregon but declined and Oregon settled with some guy that started #5 on the depth chart named Jeremiah Masoli. I wonder if Oregon will have some futuristic Rose Bowl jersey. The Big 10 hasn’t won this game since 2000.
Picks: Oregon; Oregon
Confidence: 29; 27
Ranking: 3
Sugar Bowl- Florida vs. Cincinnati, Jan. 1
Synopsis: The Runner Up Bowl. Both teams had national championship dreams. Florida was waxed by Alabama and Cincinnati drew the short straw of the undefeated teams. An impressive showing and an ugly BCS title game could give Cincinnati some AP votes. You wonder if Brian Kelly will switch his first place vote to Notre Dame. Oh yeah and it’s Tim Tebow’s last game.
Picks: Cincinnati; Florida
Confidence: 1; 31
Ranking: 4
International Bowl- South Florida vs. Northern Illinois, Jan. 2
Synopsis: The Hangover Bowl. This is just something to throw on the tube because it’s football. You have to wonder if some south Florida kids will be motivated for a trip to Toronto.
Picks: Northern Illinois; South Florida
Confidence: 10; 19
Ranking: 27
Papajohns.com Bowl- South Carolina vs. Connecticut, Jan. 2
Synopsis: UConn has never beaten an SEC team. That would be a nice reward for the difficult last month UConn had to suffer through.
Picks: South Carolina; South Carolina
Confidence: 2; 20
Ranking: 26
Cotton Bowl- Oklahoma St. vs. Mississippi, Jan. 2
Synopsis: The Low Expectations Bowl. Both teams started in the top 10 and both wilted under the pressure. Ole Miss is back for the second straight year. Both teams were pathetic in their rivalry games. Still it should be a shootout.
Picks: Oklahoma St.; Oklahoma St.
Confidence: 14; 23
Ranking: 10
Liberty Bowl- Arkansas vs. East Carolina, Jan. 2
Synopsis: Just watch Ryan Mallet throw. His arm has scouts creaming themselves. The turnovers will be the stat line. East Carolina forced 33, Arkansas 27.
Picks: Arkansas; Arkansas
Confidence: 31; 16
Ranking: 22
Alamo Bowl- Michigan St. vs. Texas Tech, Jan. 2
Synopsis: This is the Alamo’s last look at the slow Big 10. Tech should remind them that the spread offense is the way of the future and the Pac 10 is coming next year. If the Holiday Bowl gets great ratings, the Alamo will smile on its investment.
Picks: Texas Tech; Texas Tech
Confidence: 13; 18
Ranking: 23
Fiesta Bowl- Boise St. vs. TCU, Jan. 4
Synopsis: The Little Guy Bowl. This will be fun. Both are high octane offenses and strong defenses. A TCU blowout coupled with a sloppy Texas win could result in an AP National Title. While it’s annoying that neither of these teams will have a crack at the big boys, one is guaranteed to finish undefeated and two AQ teams get a shot in the BCS.
Picks: TCU; TCU
Confidence: 26; 22
Ranking: 2
Orange Bowl- Georgia Tech vs. Iowa, Jan. 5
Synopsis: A game of scheming. Iowa will have 33 days to prepare for the triple option offense of Tech. Ricky Stanzi will be healthy. I wonder what the ratings will be for this game since it’s the worst matchup of the BCS bowls. Iowa brought 50,000 people the last time to Miami.
Picks: Iowa; Georgia Tech
Confidence: 12; 24
Ranking: 7
GMAC Bowl- Central Michigan vs. Troy, Jan. 6
Synopsis: Great quarterback matchup. Central Michigan’s Dan LeFevour and Troy’s Levi Brown. That’s all I’ve got.
Picks: Central Michigan; Central Michigan
Confidence: 33; 26
Ranking: 21
BCS National Championship Game- Alabama vs. Texas, Jan. 7
Synopsis: A $9 million coaching collision. Two storied programs. This game doesn’t need an introduction.
Picks: Alabama; Alabama
Confidence: 11; 3
Ranking: 1